Micro-simulating child poverty in 2010 and 2020

Our central forecast is that child poverty will fall by more than half a million between 200/07 and 2010/11, to around 2.3 million. This reflects: benefit and tax credit increases that have been announced by the government, but not yet implemented; the slowdown in the economy from 2008 to 2009; and the likely real rise in most meanstested benefits and tax credits in April 2010 if inflation is forecast to be negative.